气候变化国家评估报告(Ⅲ):中国应对气候变化对策的综合评价.pdf
Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2006, 2 4 147-.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullO.null.nullQ.nullOMMS.null T.null ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCHVol.2, No.4July, 2006.null.null1992.null5.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ social and economic impacts; mitigation of carbon emissions; strategies; assessment 1 Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2 Research Center for Sustainable Development, Chinese Academyof Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, China; 3 Energy Research Institute of National Development and ReCommission, Beijing 100038, China; 4 Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China .nullnonmarkingreturn W.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null.null.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *Q.null 153HE Jiankun1, LIU Bin1, CHEN Ying2, XU Huaqing3, GUO Yuan3, HU Xiulian2,ZHANG Xiliang1, LI Yu’e4, ZHANG Aling1, CHEN Wenying 1, WEI Zhihong1,DUAN Maosheng1, ZHANG Xiaohua1, LU Yingyun1.null.null.null11980.nullnonmarkingreturn “GDP.nullGDP.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn P.148.nullFig. 1 Relation between GDP per capita and intensity of carbonemissions with respect to GDP in countries of the world since 1980see He’s text, P.148.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-./01234.null.null2.nullnonmarkingreturn “1982J2000.nullnonmarkingreturn “ a80.nullnonmarkingreturn b 90.nullnonmarkingreturn c 90.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn P.175.nullFig. 2 Spatial distribution changes of 3-year mean NDVI in theearly 1980s a, the early 1990s b, and the late 1990s c seeLiu’s text, P.1750.04.null0.20.2.null0.30.3.null0.50.5.null0.76a bc3 a.nullnonmarkingreturnNDVI.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “ *,-.null.null31982J2000.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “NDVI.null.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn P.178.nullFig. 3 Spatial change ofNDVI in three-river sourceregion during 1982-2000see Tang’s text, P.178.nullnonmarkingreturn “1951J2005.nullnonmarkingreturn “ .null*,.null.null41951J2005.nullnonmarkingreturn a.nullnonmarkingreturn b.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ .nullnonmarkingreturn P.186.nullFig. 4 The frequency of different temperature in theperiod of spring sowing over the southern a, and northernb South China during 1951-2005 see Chen’s text, P.186.nullnonmarkingreturnGDP/1000.nullnonmarkingreturn.nullnonmarkingreturn1995.nullnonmarkingreturn 19801985199019952000.nullnonmarkingreturn10110010J110J20 10 20 30 40 50CO2.nullnonmarkingreturn L.nullt CL1000.nullnonmarkingreturn 12.010.08.06.04.02.00.0.nullnonmarkingreturnLB4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 24.0.nullnonmarkingreturnL.null1951J1960 1961J1970 1971J1980 1981J19901991J2000 2001J2005a10.08.06.04.02.0.nullnonmarkingreturnLB0.04.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 24.0.nullnonmarkingreturnL.null1951J1970 1971J1990 1991J2005bJ21.nullJ10J9.nullJ3J2.null23.null910.null24.nullnonmarkingreturn N.nullnonmarkingreturn “