碳成本传递原理、影响因素及对中国碳市场的启示——以电力部门为例.pdf
N [ 11 3 2015 N 5 PROGRESSUS INQUISITIONES DE MUTATIONE CLIMATISVol. 11 No. 3May 2015doi10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2015.03.009 e , . / Zz Th V \ [J]. N [ , 2015, 11 3 220-226/ Zz Th V \ e IPCCR CUG U C Z_0 20 X A\N q2z 95 \ r \1 e fj 9 c6 p N q }sFtC p N T_ }w j 9d Cb 8 N 0 T Y 2100 N f7W . 2 F Ts N \2 2MD 2F f T i f T 24 wNQ CO2c 0 \3 f i c n c _ _ .Xcw 7 2 1 1 1 9 5m 2015-03-10 2015-05-06\ T F T 0 F T 0 2012BAC20B12U f e 4W 4 ZU p r L 2 \ y hM m\ Th[D t / \ t/ r2Zz UBVZ / r2z c _ .t [U\ h t [U/ rZ2 ._ oc_MI o .c.2““_ o . _c o .z h / rZ29D h h qI rL .T hl .t [U w N c.Tt [F iCR cNI o .5 c o .8e c o .N2 zq2 pN h/ q xM xMh h C 2014 NT 7 l vh 1536 t . 5.5 b 6.3 t O 36 /t \4 T F[ 2016N Th Th } - 6 N c 2.6 t\ h _ Ws 30 b 40 b t \5 T BV c _ z _ O W 4CZ y _ EU ETSW 2013 N - cm c .oA } [U c .jP c .t J o4s r8e O c he 3 221 e/ Zz Th V \ n 1 CO2 c 0/VjnFig. 1 Change in power prices due to emissions trading fordifferent production technologies [U CT /r_ t zZ \6 COMPETES Comprehensive Market Power in Electricity Trans-mission and Energy Simulator Ft 4\ h |s UBV Q EU ETS M c . oc _ZW5 O8 }w \6 2008 2012 N EU ETS _9| c0 0.09 0.11 N 0.60 D 1.10 7 Z m 2 8 Z6s 2.20 \7 F UBV i TMD } C Z 7[,Z_w[T F“ \8 ZWC W C CNAGE F r g UW tZm 5 10 I GDP }tZ0 0.4 0.85 _ .T _ ETS l2C_T i / wC \9 ETSC[ W\ZWB O] 0h 7C[ W\ZW O/ io stZW4 io ] i \ y hM m\Th[D t / \ t/r2Zz 2 / c _e CO2c . W\5Q _t .zO8 ._ oQ .6jzO hLcost pass-through; demand curve; supply or marginal cost curve; market competitivenessHe Chongkai, Gu Alun[5][3][4][6][7][8][9]OL]. [2015-05-06]. http// J, Hers S, Lise W, et al. The impact of the EU ETS on electricityprices [R]. Final report to DG Environment of the European Commission,2008Lund P. Impacts of EU carbon emission trade directive on energy-intensiveindustries indicative micro-economic analyses [J]. Ecological Economics,2007, 63 4 799-806“ , . mT 7j 9 cZ[J]. X 7 , 2002 8 47-49v , | Y , c , . EU ETS y Z T zq [J]. N [ , 2012, 8 6 462-468[2]IPCC. Summary for policymakers [M/OL]//IPCC. Climate change 2014synthesis report. http//www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/syr/AR5_SYR_FINAL_SPM.pdfUNFCCC. Outcome of the work of the Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action under the convention 1/CP.15 [R/OL]. 2009.http//unfccc.int/resource/docs/2009/copl5/eng/1la01.pdf , g , . i N 7 O L [ IPCC R UG [J]. N [ , 2014, 10 5 313-3228h . [R/OL]. 2015 N 1 , 17 . [2015-05-06]. http//sino- . T _h N - 6 [EB/ JE[1]
