碳税对经济增长_能源消费与收入分配的影响分析_张明文.pdf
28 6 2009 M 6 技 术 经 济Technology Economics Vol.28, No.6June, 2009 69、 hn l s Ys张明文,张金良,谭忠富,王东海华北电力大学电力能源经济研究所,北京 102206K 1本文利用19952005年我国 GDP、能源消费和资源税样本数据,通过构建基于面板数据的计量模型,分析了征收碳税对我国 28个省、直辖市和自治区的经济增长、能源消费与收入分配的影响。结果表明征收碳税能够提高我国大部分地区的经济规模,同时对东部地区的能源消费具有抑制作用,但扩大了大部分地区资本所有者和劳动者的收入分配差距。这说明,现阶段我国应该分地区、分税率进行碳税征收,以使我国大部分地区在保持经济增长和体现社会公平的前提下实现节能减排的目标。1oM经济增长;能源消费;碳税;收入分配ms |F222.3 DS M A cI|1002-980X200906-0048-04l 2009-03-08Te张明文1963,男,华北电力大学博士研究生,研究方向能源与电力经济;张金良1981,男,江苏泰州人,华北电力大学博士研究生,研究方向能源与电力经济;谭忠富1964,男,吉林长岭人,华北电力大学电力能源经济研究所所长,教授,博士生导师,研究方向电力能源经济、风险管理理论、企业战略管理。 7b[ ,S6B “ 9。 |,i h rTKD [ 7] ; B V9 B , s l S6 i 8 bY,TV l | PS6 0, b | /[ 8] ; Y BtSE l Ll,9s S Bt1 L Y i 8h 、6 “dT[ 9] ; s S6 o。 uS 39、9- VCPIhh L ,i[1995 M M。2 S69、 hnl s Y2.1 T_V A, S28 8 g11 M , 7“ ,yN V[r 。 6, [12] ,r S69、 hn l s Y 1 a。 , 9r,yN, n51 T_,1_ “ HW M] 。|Zs_ _H01H02 L H01 c| q“ α、β、γ、δ ] “ HW M]。logY itc αxitlogK itβx it logLitγxit logEitδx1it εit 。 3T3 8z; 8Y9 Y, | q“ ] “HW M]。H02 | q“ α、β、γ、δ ] “ HW M], c]。logY itci αxitlogK itβx it logLitγxit logEitδx1it εit 。 4T4 8zi 8Y, M,VC| q“ ] “ HWM], ]。T s H01 ,5 A1H02_; T H01 ,_H02 , | q“ M。 T H02 , 5_。logY itci αixitlogK itβi xit logLitγixit logEitδix1it εit 。 5 r L _ZE,S28 8 g11 M 9 ,F1 126.83 F0.01162,140, F2 17.91 F0.01135,140。yN,S28 8 g11 M L ,4 5,N P | q49f 69、 hn l s Ys“ “8]7M。2.2 9 9 H,CBZ5[ AsZ M1, [ ,{ X {, . f/S b/ 4[ J].S ,2006,39919-23.[ 11] ,.S l、69 l s [ J].6,20055118-126.[ 12] , d ,.S Z us [ J]. W6,20041225-32.Analysis on Effects of Carbon Taxation on Economic Development,Energy Consumption and IncomeDistributionZhang Mingwen ,Zhang Jinliang ,Tan Zhongfu ,Wang DonghaiInstitute of ElectricPower Economics,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,ChinaAbstractThis paper constructs the econometricmodel through using the panel data about during 1995-2005,and studies the effects of carbontaxation on economic growth ,energy consumption and income distribution of 28 provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions in China.Theresults show that the carbon taxation improves economic scales of most of areas,and restrains the energy consumption of eastern region,but ex-pands the income distribution gap between capitalowners and labor owners,which shows that China should impose carbon taxation with differ-ent tax rate fordifferent regions to realizeenergy-saving and emission-reduction under the premise ofmaintaining economic growth and socialeq-uity at present.Key wordseconomic growth;energy consumption;carbon taxation;income distribution95 3y VONd ZE
