全球年平均人为热释放气候强迫的估算.pdf
Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2010, 6 2 119J122 119.nullnonmarkingreturn “1673-1719 2010 02-0119-04.nullnonmarkingreturn “ 2 Graduate Universityof the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; 3 National Climate Center, China MeteorologicalAdministration, Beijing 100081, ChinaAbstract The release of heat into the environment for human activities, such as energy consumption and humanmetabolism, is called anthropogenic heat release. During the process of anthropogenic heat release, the ground andtroposphere will be heated, which have several impacts on urban climate change, and furthermore which may aggravatethe global climate change. The statistical data of world energy consumption from British Petroleum and thedemographic ination from the United Nations Population Division are used to explore the impacts of anthropogenicheat on the global climate change. The results indicate that the current global annual climatic forcing of anthropogenicheat release is not yet large, about 0.031W/m2; but with the population and the total energy consumption increasing,the future global annual climatic forcing of anthropogenic heat release may reach 0.30 W/m2.Key words anthropogenic heat release; energy consumption; climatic forcing.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “*.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “*.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “*,-./012.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “*,-.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “nonmarkingreturn*,-.nonmarkingreturn/01.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullGDP.nullnonmarkingreturn “*,-nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “*2.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “*,-nullnonmarkingreturn .nullnonmarkingreturn “ 1/4.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn 0.42 W/m2.null.nullnonmarkingreturn “.nullnonmarkingreturn “*,-..nullnonmarkingreturn [1] Forster P, Ramaswamy V, Artaxo P, et al. Changes in atmosphericconstituents and in radiative forcing [M]// Solomon S, Qin D, ManningM, et al. Climate change 2007 the physical science basis. Contributionof working group I to the fourth assessment report of the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK and New York,USA Cambridge University Press, 2007Simmonds I, Keay K. Weekly cycle of meteorological variations inMelbourne and the role of pollution and anthropogenic heat release [J].Atmospheric Environment, 1997, 31 1589JNSMP.nullnonmarkingreturn, .nullnonmarkingreturn , .nullnonmarkingreturn , .null. .nullnonmarkingreturn ““* [J]. .null.nullnonmarkingreturn “, 2004, 9 3 409J421.nullnonmarkingreturn , .nullnonmarkingreturn , .nullnonmarkingreturn . .nullnonmarkingreturn “*,-. [J]..nullnonmarkingreturn “, 2004, 14 1 61J68Statistical review of world energy 2009 [R/OL]. 2009 [2009-06-27]. http// population prospects the 2008 revision population database [R/OL]. 2009 [2009-06-07]. http//esa.un.org/unpp/index.aspSailor D, Lu L. A top-down ology for developing diurnal andseasonal anthropogenic heating profiles for urban areas [J]. AtmosphericEnvironment, 2004, 38 2737J2748Fanger P O. Thermal comfort analysis and applications in environmentalengineering [M]. New York McGraw-Hill, 1972 1J244Guyton A C. Textbook of medical physiology [M]. W. B. SaundersCompany, 1986 1057Ziock H J, Lackner K S, Harrison D P. Zero emission coal power, a newconcept [R/OL]. 2001 [2009-06-27]. http//l.doe.gov/publications/proceedings/01/ubc/ubc01.htmlSolomon S, Qin D, Manning M, et al. Climate change 2007 the physicalscience basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessmentreport of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [M]. Cambridge,UK and New York, USA Cambridge University Press, 2007International Energy Agency. World energy outlook [R/OL]. 2009 [2009-06-27]. http//worldenergyoutlook.org/[4][5][7][8][9][10][6][2][3][11][12]